1 comment:
FROM MY DEAR FRIEND AMBASSADORgajendra singh FROM INDIA
MY COMMENTS IN BOLD BLACK UNDERLINED YELLOW BACKROUND
WHILE INDIANS ARE OVERRATING SHARIF THE REGION IS ABOUT TO PLUNE INTO REAL STRATEGIC DEEP SHIT IN 2014-2016.PERSONALLY MY ASSESSMENT IS THAT NEITHER PAKI POLITICIANS OR GENERALS ARE CAPABLE OF DEALING WITH THE CHALLENGES
AGHA H AMIN
Nawaz Sharif and army coupsWhy Raheel Sharif was named Kayani's successorZULFIQAR BHUTTO, who never tired of boasting of how he had got the better of Indira Gandhi in Simla, appointed the obsequious Gen Zia-ul-Haq as Pakistan's army chief superseding six serving officers. Describing this appointment as her husband's greatest mistake, Begum Nusrat Bhutto told me in 1982 that her husband had been carried away by Zia's professions of eternal loyalty. There was even an occasion when, Quran in hand, Zia swore before Bhutto: "You are the saviour of Pakistan and we owe it to you to be totally loyal to you". Barely a year later, on July 5, 1977, Zia ousted Bhutto in a military coup staged by the army's infamous Rawalpindi-based 111 Brigade. On April 4, 1979, Zia had the person he described as the "saviour of Pakistan" hanged, after a farcical trial.
G Parthasarathy 5/12/13 http://www.tribuneindia.com/2013/20131205/edit.htm#4
Nawaz Sharif appears to fight shy of appointing Pashtun officers with distinguished family connections to the post of army chief. AFP file photo
Nawaz Sharif was a product of Zia's military rule, enjoying a meteoric rise under the patronage of Zia's military Governor of Punjab, Gen Ghulam Jilani Khan. It was a period when Zia was bent on destabilising India's Punjab province. Sharif's fondness for contacts with "Khalistanis" like the Washington-based Ganga Singh Dhillon continued even through his second term. When Benazir was voted to power in 1988, Sharif made common cause with Zia-appointed President Ghulam Ishaq Khan, the army chief, Gen Aslam Beg, and ISI chief Asad Durrani. Benazir was ousted and Sharif's Muslim League was swept to power in 1991. Sharif's ISI chief, a fundamentalist member of the Tablighi Jamat, Gen Javed Nasir staged the 1993 Mumbai bomb blasts with assistance from Dawood Ebrahim.
ARMY BETTED ON SHARIF AS A GOOD YES MAN BUT SHARIF GOT OUT OF CONTROL AND MANOEUVRED TO HAVE HIS OWN SAY IN 1990.
GHULAM ISHAQ APPOINTED ASIF NAWAZ IN 1990 WO DID NOT GET ALON WELL WITH SHARIF BUT DIED IN JAN 1993
Sharif was sacked shortly thereafter by President Ghulam Ishaq Khan, but restored to office by the Supreme Court. When the army chief, Gen Asif Nawaz, with whom he had serious differences, died in mysterious circumstances, Sharif superseded three senior officials to appoint the soft-spoken Waheed Kakkar as the new army chief. Kakkar sent Sharif packing from office soon thereafter.
KAKAR WAS APPOINTED BY GHULAM ISHAQ KHAN AND NOT NAWAZ
Sharif learnt nothing from this experience. He unceremoniously forced the resignation of his army chief, Gen Jehangir Karamat, after he was re-elected in 1997, only to appoint a Muhajir, Gen Parvez Musharraf, as his army chief, believing Musharraf could be kept in check. He superseded a highly rated Pashtun Lt Gen Ali Kuli Khan.
THE PASHTUN WAS SIMPLY SUPERSEDED AS HE WAS PERCEIVED AS A POLITICAL THREAT AND AS TOO POWERFUL
Believing that the nuclear tests of 1998 had given him unparalleled popularity and power and disregarding the fact that he was ruling a bankrupt country, Sharif encouraged and participated in Musharraf's Kargil misadventure. When the misadventure became a fiasco and he was forced to rush to the Clinton White House to bail him out, Sharif threw the entire blame on Musharraf for the international disgrace and disrepute his country faced following the Kargil misadventure. Growing mutual distrust and animosity between Sharif and Musharraf led to the coup of October 12, 1999, with Sharif being incarcerated and later bailed out by the Saudis.
Sharif and the army establishment share much in common. Both have a proven track record of proximity to Mullah Omar and the Afghan Taliban. Both have close links with Hafiz Saeed and Lashkar-e-Taiba. Sharif also has close links with extremist anti-Shia groups like Lashkar-e-Jhangvi.
SHARIF HAS A SIMPLE AGENDA . SELL HIS SUGAR AND HAVE PEACE WITH INDIA. LET , TALIBAN OTHERS ARE NOT REALLY IMPORTANT. SHARIF NEEDS AN ARMY CHIEF WHO IS LAID BACK AND NOT A THREAT TO IS BUSINESS OR POLITICS
But Sharif is averse to ceding almost total powers to the army and playing second fiddle on national security and foreign policy issues, like President Zardari was compelled to do by an assertive General Kayani. These are the considerations that motivated Sharif in appointing Raheel Sharif as Kayani's successor. Sharif bypassed Lt Gen Haroon Aslam, who was regarded by commentators within Pakistan as an "average officer" and kicked Kayani's protégé, Lt Gen Rashid Mahmud, up as Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Committee. Gen Raheel Khan has a reasonable career profile, but is not regarded as likely to set the Indus on fire, by innovation and drive.
What clinched Raheel Sharif's appointment was evidently his close relationship with Lt Gen (retd) Abdul Qader Baloch, a Sharif confidant, who is a Minister for Tribal Affairs. If Sharif was really interested in having an army chief who would deal effectively with the threat posed by religious extremism spearheaded by Tehriq-e-Taliban-e-Pakistan, most observers agree that he should have appointed Lt Gen Tariq Khan, the next in line for promotion. Khan is a Pashtun Armoured Corps officer, credited with restoring the shattered morale of the frontier constabulary after it was mauled by the TTP. It seems that Sharif still believes that he can buy peace with the TTP, which well-informed observers consider as unrealistic and dangerous. Sharif appears to fight shy of appointing Pashtun officers with distinguished family connections to the post of army chief.
GAS STATED EARLIER SHARIF HAS A ONE POINT AGENDA -- COMPLETE IS 5 YEAR TERM , MAKE MONEY AND HAVE AN ARMY WHICH DOES NOT DISTURB THESE OBJECTIVES
As Director General of Military Training, Raheel Sharif is known to have stressed the importance of shifting attention, for the present, from an exclusively India-centric approach to focusing on internal challenges. He, however, lacks both the stature and resolve necessary for ending support for the Afghan Taliban, or for anti-India jihadi outfits like Lashkar-e-Taiba. He also has a political boss who has an affinity for jihadi groups for use in both India and Afghanistan. While the Pakistan army may remain prepared to take on the TTP, it will not do so under Nawaz Sharif's leadership unless the internal security situation deteriorates significantly and destabilises Punjab province. Moreover, as the security situation deteriorates along the Pakistan-Afghanistan border, there will be increasing allegations holding Afghanistan and India responsible for the activities of groups like the TTP.
PAKISTAN IS ABOUT TO GET INTO REAL THICK SHIT AND BOTH THE SHARIF AIMS WILL FALL FLAT ON THE GROUND
Army plans its own goals while the civil bureaucracy sides with them and the squabbling politicians are left to their misery. People are clueless as ever.
And this notion that US is totally destabilzing Pakistan is a myth because the US has not even started it seriously thanks to China and Russia.
The day US decides to punish Pakistan, it would be game over for the country.