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PM NAWAZ SHARIF AND GENERAL KIANI HAVE NO ANTI TERROR STRATEGY

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Abject Pakistan Army Failure-Taliban kill officers probing massacre of foreign climbers

UNLESS WAR IS TAKEN TO FATA IN FULL FORCE PAKISTAN WILL REMAIN DESTABILISED

PAKISTANS NAUKRI BAZ AND SELF SERVING CIVIL AND MILITARY RULERS ONLY STRATEGY IS TO MAKE MORE MONEY AND ASSETS !

BRIGADIER SHAFILLUAH QURESHI FROM  5 BALUCH SUMMED IT UP VERY WELL 


" LANGAR KEE  DAAAIL ASAAR KARTEE HAI "


A.H AMIN



Taliban kill officers probing massacre of foreign climbers

PESHAWAR: Taliban fighters opened fire on a group of security officers investigating a June massacre of foreign climbers, killing three, officials said on Tuesday. The Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan claimed responsibility for the June 22-23 pre-dawn attack when gunmen dressed as policemen stormed a base camp on Pakistan's second-highest peak of Nanga Parbat, killing 10 foreign climbers and a local guide.
On Monday, two army officers and a senior superintendent of police (SSP) were shot dead while a soldier sustained injuries during an armed attack on the vehicle of SSP near Ronai, Chilas. Diamer SSP Hilal Ahmad was returning from the DC House along with Colonel Ghulam Mustafa and Captain Ashfaq Aziz when unidentified gunmen opened fire on their vehicle. The SSP and colonel died instantly while Captain Aziz and a security personal were wounded. The inured were rushed to the District Headquarters Hospital where Captain Aziz succumbed to the injuries. Chilas DCO Ajmal Bhatti said the officers were hit by the assailants hiding in mountains in the area. "Though no major arrests have been made so far related to the June 23 shooting of foreigners, these officials were investigating the killings of foreigners," a senior security official told Reuters. According to the Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan's (TTP) spokesperson, the banned outfit's subsidiary group Janood-e-Hafsa is behind Tuesday's attack. He added the attack had been carried out to divert the world's attention towards drone attacks in the Tribal Areas. Victims of the mountain assault included climbers from China, Lithuania, Nepal, Slovakia, Ukraine and one person with joint U.S.-Chinese citizenship. One Chinese climber escaped.
Nanga Parbat, one of the world's highest mountains, is popular among international mountaineers because of its challenging terrain, but growing violence has damaged the potentially lucrative tourism industry. agencies

Pakistani Military and Civilian Leadership Intellectually and Resolutionwise Incapable of Strategic Response to Terrorist Threat


Agha H Amin










Havinng served in the military and knowing most of the present Pakistani key decision makers personally I am of the firm conviction that :---


"  Pakistani Military and Civilian Leadership Intellectually and Resolution wise Incapable of Strategic Response to Terrorist Threat "


Failure is on following accounts and facets :---


  1. The credibility of Pakistani military leadership as defender of Pakistans so called Islamic ideology is being questioned by a large part of Pakistans Islamists ?They are regarded as Murtids or Hypocrites and non believers by the extremists.
  2. Pakistans Islamists have succeeded in synchronising fire power and movement at the operational level.
  3. Pakistans police is nearly eliminated and ineffective in facing terrorist threat.
  4. Pakistans civilian and military leadership cannot frame a tangible anti terrorist policy.
  5. The fact that Pakistan covertly supports 90 % of Afghan Taliban etc and attacks 90 % of Pakistani Taliban has introduced a strategic confusion of principle.
  6. Pakistans multiple internal wars , i.e ethnic in Balochistan,sectarian all over Pakistan, ideological in KP and Northern Areas, urban ethnic mafia in Karachi severely divide energy and resources of the Pakistani state.
  7. Pakistani military system has failed to produce effective Auftragstakik practising juniour leaders, bold mid level commanders and outstanding strategic level commanders barring LTG Tariq Khan who is most likely to be eliminated from elevation to army chief rank in 2013 because he has BA____LS and GUTS and INTELLECT and because of his half Pashtun ethnicity.He is an aristocrat and a very independent man who arouses much jealousy in Pakistans military hierarchy consisting of mediocres who came to top through conformism and sycophancy.



Lieutenant General Tariq Khan-A Soldier of Substance



Careerism,Apple Polishing , Strategic Assassination and History-Flattery will get you somewhere


Pakistans Strategic Mess is USAs Strategic Mess too


1978 Revolution ,Pakistan and Strategic Anarchy--Pakistans uncertain future


Agha H Amin



The April 1978 Saur Revolution was a historic event in modern history.




While the revolution merits a whole book or many volumes , we will just very briefly discuss its salient parts.


Afghanistan status as a buffer state was irrevocably transformed into a state where super powers fought proxy wars.Thus some 98 years of Afghan history of being a buffer state was changed.



 

Power shifted in Afghanistan from a Durrani-Persianised feudal elite into a more broad based multi ethnic state.The new leftist regime had Tajiks ,Hazaras and Uzbeks previously regarded as second and third rate citizens !


Although the coups major leaders were Pashtuns from Paktia and Khost like the indomitable Aslam Watanjar the PDPA was essentially a mix of Persian speaking urbanised intellectuals organised as Parchamis and a more radiacal Pashtun section from Paghman Khost and Paktia known as Parchamis.The Khalqis were rash , bold , impetuous and radiacal , while the Parchamis were more moderate.


The Saur revolution proved a gold mine for Pakistans illegitimate military junta of Zia which till April 1978 was politically an illegitimate bastard child regime.This regime used the Afghan revolution as a pretext to get dollars from USA and Saudi Arabia.Power shifted in Pakistan from a more progressive PPP regime to a more Punjabised regime dominated by refugees from Jullundhur and Batala etc .




Since this new clique was fatherless and illegitimate it used religion as well as caste as a political tool.Thus it outlawed political parties and Pakistani politics became more ethnic andsub ethnic with Punjab divided into castes as political forces and Sindh divided into urban and rural ! The division of Sindh into urban and rural was a planned reaction by the Pakistani illegal military regime as a counter to the MRD Movement of 1983 which had its roots in rural Sindh !


Pashtuns were used as cannon fodder by the military junta as proxies in Afghan war and thus the seeds of religious extremism were planted in Pakistan .


Foreign policy and all security and defence matters in Pakistan became the preserve of Pakistani military which continues till to date !



All civilian governments which came into power after 1988 elections in Pakistan were remote controlled by the Pakistani military and when Nawaz Sharif tried to assert civilian control in 1997-99 he was removed by a military coup.


It would not be wrong to call Pakistan an army with a country and not a country with an army since 5th July 1977, with a short stint of full civilian control by the second PML N Government from February 1997 to October 1999 !



There is no doubt that Pakistan is a state with dual controls since 5th July 1977 with a civilian co pilot who in reality is a flight steward and a hidden real piolt who controls major financial and security issues !


The imbalance in this situation are three new factors i.e (1) religious extremism which is now on a reverse boomerang course against the Pakistani elite (2) regional centrifugal forces in Balochistan (3) an increased foreign interest in Pakistan where foreign powers led by USA see Pakistan as an anachroninistic and adventurist state .



Five cardinal fact stand out in this scenario , (1) The USA severely lacks long term strategic insight and US policy is run on short term objectives which is well proven from how it behaved after USSR withdrew from Afghanistan and till 9/11 (2) Pakistan alone will not be able to restore strategic stability in Afghanistan or even Pakistan itself .Its military which controls major part of Pakistans financial and security policy is not intellectually capable of understanding the immense complexity of strategy andgeopolitics (3) The Pakistani state will not be able to control Islamic extremism (4) The multiplicity of state and non state actors can lead to severe strategic stability culminating in an India Pakistan nuclear stand off.



The Islamists are far more powerful than they seem ! The Pakistani military is not as clever as it thinks it is ! The Americans are strategically pathetic ! Thus the issue will be decided by random and unforeseeable forces !


Certainly what mean mortals who are in charge of affairs in this whole complex drama want may not happen ! Thus the relative less visible forces will take over !


The scene is thus set for strategic anarchy ! The real danger is that Pakistan cannot afford it but it is heading straight into a diasaster course because it has no able navigator at the highest level !







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